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Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Space Weather. Unsettled. Solar Storm In Progress. 30% Chance For M-Class Flares.

M-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Departing sunspot AR1410 is growing in size and magnetic complexity as it approaches the sun's northwestern limb. The region is now crackling with solar flares, highlighted by this M1-class eruption on Feb. 6th at 20:01 UT:
NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of more M-flares during the next 24 hours. Any eruptions from AR1410 are unlikely to be Earth-directed as the active region continues to turn away from our planet.

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 4 unsettled
24-hr max: Kp= 4
unsettled
explanation | more data


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2012 Feb 07 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
30 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2012 Feb 07 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes

0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
40 %
40 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %
High latitudes

0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
50 %
50 %
MINOR
30 %
30 %
SEVERE
05 %
05 %
 
 

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